Last year, 2007, I can remember watching Deer and Deer Hunting's "Rutting Moon" episode and hearing Charles Alsheimer telling viewers to be sure to be in the woods around Halloween. Last year I saw lots of activity around the days leading up to the end of October, and the temperatures were well above normal as I remember wearing my lightweight early season camo when on stand on October 27th. Most of us know, and Mr. Alsheimer agrees, that most great ruts happen when the temperature is in the 30s or low 40s.
His theory was based off of the Autumnal Equinox, and the 2nd full moon after it. He then went on to say that he would be sure to be on stand 7-10 days after that 2nd full moon. His theory led him to believe that the bucks would be full into the "chase phase" and at their highest level of testosterone. Last year, that would put him on stand from November 2nd thru November 5th.
So, applying that same rationale to 2008 makes for a late rut.
This year, the Autumnal Equinox falls on September 22, 2008. First full moon after that isn't until October 14th, the second full moon isn't until November 13th. Which means that Charles Alsheimer's best days to hunt and whitetails peak testosterone would be November 20th thru 23/24th. That is very bad news for Pennsylvania archers, as our season only runs through November 15th.